Business Cycle and Stock markets - When do we bottom?
Our proprietary model using USA business cycle data and applied as a proxy to the UK tells us when the present business cycle started, how long it will last and most importantly at what point the stock markets bottom. We have looked at 6 business cycles over the last 50 years. The time frames are rather surprising.
We are currently X months into the UK slowdown which started in X. The down sloping part of the business cycle lasts X months on average with the stock markets bottoming X months before the business cycle. We are still in the very early part of this downturn.
Our subscribers know what the Xs are.